Bayness is amplified in ROTF, where as in the first movie it is more restrained however wether thats from powers on high influencing him or whatever, as Goktimus states the Director is ultimately responsible for his film so It's Bay's fault that ROTF was crap, but also his fault that the first movie was decent.

While I tend to agree that he is unlikely to do better, I still think he can, and has before (not great but better).